The two-time defending champion Kansas City Chiefs will attempt to reach their fifth Super Bowl in the last six years when they take on the Buffalo Bills in the 2025 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. This will be the seventh straight year they have reached the AFC title game. The Bills (13-4), who are coming off a 27-25 victory over the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional round, are 5-4 on the road this season. The Chiefs (15-2), who beat the Houston Texans 23-14 on Saturday, are 9-0 at home.
Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS and Paramount+. Kansas City is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Bills vs. Chiefs odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under in total points scored is 47.5. Kansas City is a -129 favorite (risk $129 to win $100), while Buffalo is a +107 underdog (risk $100 to win $107). Before making Bills vs. Chiefs picks, NFL bets or NFL playoff predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine NFL expert Mike Tierney has to say, given his mastery of picks involving the Bills..
A veteran sportswriter whose work appears periodically in the New York Times and the Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered the NFL for decades and has reported on seven Super Bowls. Tierney is 154-124-9 in the NFL over the past two seasons, making $1,586 for $100 players. Additionally, he is an incredible 47-30-4 on his last 81 betting picks in games involving the Buffalo Bills, netting a whopping $1,435. Anyone who has been following him on sports betting sites and sports betting apps might be well on their way.
In addition to Tierney’s picks for this game, you can get AI Accessories, Vegas Expert Picks, DFS optimizer familiesand everything you need to crush your AFC Championship Game football bets. Go to SportsLine now to see it all.
Now Tierney has focused on Bills versus leaders. You can head over to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the NFL Odds and NFL betting lines for the Chiefs vs. Bills:
- Bills vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -1.5
- Bills vs. Chiefs plus/minus: 47.5 points
- Money line Bills vs. Chiefs: Buffalo +107, Kansas City -129
- BUF: The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
- KC: The Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
- Bills vs. Chiefs picks: See the picks on SportsLine
- Bills vs. Chiefs streaming: Paramount+ (Try for free)
Best Bills vs. Chiefs Predictions
For Bills vs. Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game, Tierney is leaning under. The Under has scored in seven of Kansas City’s last 10 games and in two of the last four meetings with Buffalo. The Chiefs had the ninth-best defense during the regular season, allowing 320.6 total yards per game, and were the fourth-best in scoring, allowing just 19.2 points per game. Buffalo has allowed the 17th fewest yards with 341.5 and is tied with Seattle for the 11th fewest points allowed with 21.6.
The Chiefs have allowed 20 points or fewer in seven of the last eight games. Offensively, Patrick Mahomes was effective in the win over the Texans, completing 16 of 25 passes (64%) for 177 yards and a touchdown and a rating of 98.3. Kansas City’s rushing attack managed just 50 yards and was led by veteran Kareem Hunt with just eight carries for 44 yards and a score. The team was led by tight end Travis Kelce with seven catches for 117 yards and a touchdown.
The Bills defense has also been solid. In the team’s last eight wins, including the playoffs, they have allowed 20 points or fewer six times, including just seven in the 31-7 Wild Card Round victory over the Denver Broncos. In the first meeting with the Chiefs, Buffalo allowed just 259 total yards in a 30-21 victory on November 17. In Sunday’s win over the Ravens, Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen completed 16 of 22 passes for 127 yards, while rushing 10 times for 20 yards and two touchdowns. See which side to choose here.
How to make choices between Chiefs and Bills
Tierney has analyzed Bills vs. Chiefs from every possible angle and while we can tell you he’s leaning under in points, he’s also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping to one side of the spread. Head over to SportsLine to see what it’s all about and find out which team to support.
Who wins the Bills against the Chiefs on Sunday, and what critical X-factor causes one side of the spread to be hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bills vs. Chiefs spread you should jump to, all from the expert who’s 47-30 on picks involving the Bills.check it out and don’t forget to unlock AI Accessories, Vegas Expert Picks, DFS optimizer familiesand all the other tools to crush your picks at SportsLine.
