Content on this page may include affiliate links. If you click and register/place a bet we may receive compensation at no cost to you.
Find out who has the best chance to score a TD at any time on Sunday night and where you can bet
By
Brian Wright
&
RJ White
November 17, 2024 at 1:50 p.m. ET
5 minutes of reading
At 4-6, the Cincinnati Bengals have little margin for error. A missed two-point conversion late in regulation in Baltimore was the difference in their 35-34 loss to the Ravens on November 7. Even in defeat, the Bengals’ best players showed up. Ja’Marr Chase had an incredible 264 yards receiving and scored three touchdowns while Joe Burrow finished with 428 passing yards and 4 touchdowns with no interceptions. Cincinnati is +130 on DraftKings to make the playoffs and +5000 to come back and win the AFC North.
As they look to improve their playoff chances, the Bengals face another challenge on the road. The Los Angeles Chargers are on a three-game winning streak after allowing a league-low 13.1 points per game for the year. The defense racked up seven sacks and limited the Tennessee Titans to 157 passing yards in a 27-17 victory that improved Los Angeles to 6-3. Jim Harbaugh’s first year with the Chargers has been a success, but Sunday marks the start of a four-game stretch that also includes the Ravens, Atlanta Falcons and Kansas City Chiefs. The Chargers are -470 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook to secure a playoff berth and +2200 odds to win the AFC West.
Sunday night at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers are slight favorites at home with 1.5 points at FanDuel and -124 on the money line while the over/under is set at 47.5 points in total. Below is a look at some of the best touchdown bets at any time in this matchup between Cincinnati and Los Angeles. These are some of the best betting odds in the business. These figures are always subject to change, so it is worth checking the best online sportsbooks before placing any bets.
Ja’Marr Chase (+110, FanDuel)
It’s almost a given that the Bengals star is a top pick for a touchdown at any time. This is especially the case when he gave odds slightly higher than even. Caesars has its number at -130, while DraftKings and bet365 are at -105.
Chase was unstoppable against the Baltimore secondary in Week 10. His first touchdown went for 67 yards, the next went for 70, and the last was a jump grab that came in the final minute of the fourth quarter behind two defenders. The Chargers present a little more resistance, but Chase has proven over the years that it is difficult for any defense to keep him under control.
Chase has scored in six of his last eight games. With Tee Higgins healthy and back in Cincinnati’s lineup, he’s another receiver the Chargers will need to focus on. This could be more to Chase’s advantage.
Gus Edwards (+260, BetMGM)
The Chargers get stronger in the backfield Sunday with Edwards returning after a four-game absence. He only played 15 snaps against Tennessee, but was efficient rushing for 55 yards on 10 carries. His number of attempts was only five fewer than that of No. 1 running back JK Dobbins.
With an extra week to reacclimate, Edwards faces a Cincinnati defense that has allowed nearly 100 points in the last three games and 13 rushing scores for the season.
The Chargers have recorded five red zone rushing touchdowns since Week 7, which ranks them tied for sixth in the NFL. Meanwhile, during the same span, the Bengals have allowed six rushing touchdowns out of 20, which is the second-most in the league.
In his five games this season, Edwards has received nine attempts in the red zone for a team that runs on nearly 53 percent of its plays in that part of the field. Even though this rate is lower than Dobbins, the odds for Edwards present a higher value than Dobbins with negative odds at major sports betting sites.
Tee Higgins (+160, DraftKings)
Given the weakest aspect of the Chargers’ defense, the uncertainty within the secondary, coupled with Burrow’s ability to distribute throws to his receivers, gives reason to believe that Higgins’s will be received favorably. appropriate.
He hasn’t been on the field since Oct. 20, when he had four catches for 82 yards and scored once. In five games played before a quad injury temporarily sidelined him, Higgins was targeted six times in the red zone.
Just as the emphasis on him should benefit Chase, the added responsibility on the Bengals’ No. 1 target should leave the Bengals’ No. 2 option with plenty of opportunities.
It’s more about the type of offense than Higgins himself. Burrow and Cincinnati put the ball in the air 30 or more times in each of the previous three games and the All-Pro signal-caller has compiled more than 900 yards during that span.
Will Dissly (+450, FanDuel)
The disparity between NFL sportsbooks is quite large when it comes to Dissly’s Anytime TD prop. FanDuel’s number is currently +450, while DraftKings and Caesars’ numbers are as low as +310.
Hayden Hurst’s injury in Week 6 led to an increased role. The Los Angeles tight end played on 69% of snaps and drew 23.5% of Justin Herbert’s targets over a three-game stretch.
A return to the lineup for Hurst two weeks ago didn’t change Dissly’s production much. He still saw 61.2% of snaps and a 20.5% target share. Last Sunday, he had five catches for 30 yards and had at least four receptions in five of the last six games.
Dissly gets a favorable matchup against a team that is allowing the second-most touchdowns to tight ends this season. In fact, opposing tight ends the Bengals have faced have exceeded their receiving prop total in eight straight games.
Cincinnati produces 220.2 passing yards per game, which is 23rd in the NFL and has allowed opponents to total 17 passing touchdowns. That 1.7 per game average is also among the 10 worst in the league.