After a few quiet days for the bubble, Saturday gives us thirteen bubble games, including two “double bubble” games. And, as the dry dominates everything in university basketball this season, it is appropriate that five of the bubble games on Saturday involve teams from the SEC.
The record for most of the teams in a conference in the NCAA tournament is 11 years old, established by the Big East in 2011. It was back when the Big East was a 16 team league. The dry will threaten this record and its ability to match or rupture will depend on how these bubble teams will finish the season.
I have not yet made support with less than 12 dry teams. The most recent has 13, although the one before he has 14. I do not think that 13 or 14 is durable because there are still so many games and it is likely that one or two of these teams will not be the height of the task. I think it is much more likely that the final number of dry teams on the field will be closer to 11 than 14. It would be surprising at this stage if the league did not correspond at least to this Big East 2011 record.
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Saturday “double bubble” games
Virginie-Western in Baylor
2 p.m. (ESPN2)
After losing five of her last seven games, Virginia-Western is new in the bubble. The Mountaineers played without Star Tucker Devries, who is absent for the season with a shoulder injury. They have a relatively favorable calendar, but must start to chain victories together.
Baylor also has a relatively favorable calendar. The Bears get Arizona and Houston at home, but there are no other games against the teams in the tranche after Saturday. A 5-2 finish would give them comfort when entering the Big 12 tournament.
Wake Forest in Smu
6 p.m. (ACC network)
Another “double bubble” game, but it’s bigger for SMU. Mustangs have a good record, but lack better quality victories. Their victory over Pittsburgh on Tuesday is their best of the season so far and their only on a team near the medium. The deacons of the demon would replace Pitt as SMU’s best victory if the Mustangs realized it.
WAKE FOREST saw his sequence of three consecutive home victories against Florida State on Wednesday. This is the first bad loss of demons of the deacons of the season and they can no longer afford it. Their victory over Michigan in the first week of the season is their only grid victory so far. A victory over SMU would be their second.
Other bubble teams in action on Saturday
Arkansa
in Texas A&M, Midi (ESPN)
The Razorbacks won three out of four to put themselves in this position. Two of these victories were in Kentucky and Texas. This is the first of the four out of six on the road while the Arkansas faces a difficult calendar at the end. The Arkansas will have to continue to be road warriors if he hopes to make the NCAA tournament.
Vander
In Tennessee, 1 p.m. (dry network)
Vanderbilt is new in the bubble after losing four of his last six games. The remaining convenience calendar is also intimidating with three of their next four on the road, all against teams in the Top 16 of Thursday support. They were good on their floor at home, but may need to get one of these road victories to stay in the edge.
Georgia
vs Missouri, 3.30 p.m. (dry network)
Georgia has lost seven of its last nine games and risks falling out of reach of the support. It is the third and most winning, five consecutive games against teams in the top 25 of the support. It becomes difficult to see a realistic path to the support if the Georgia is short compared to the tigers.
Cincinnati
at Iowa State, 4 p.m. (ESPN2)
The bearcates won three in a row to get on the bubble. Staying there will be a challenge. Cincinnati is a team that needs better quality victories and will have some chance of getting them. It is not the most difficult of these chances because there is also a trip to Houston in their future.
Oklahola
vs lsu, 6 p.m. (dry network)
The Sooners have lost four of their last five to struggle on the bubble. This match is their last against an unwelcome in the dry and there remains only one match against another team of bubbles. Taking care of business in the field will be important for Oklahoma.
Texas
Against Kentucky, 8 p.m. (ESPN)
The hopes of the Longhorns tournament are quickly struck. Texas has lost four of its last five and is now three games below 0.500 against the three best quadrants. No team did the tournament with this ugly statistic on its curriculum vitae. Longhorns will have to finish 4-2 to return to a match below .500 against the 1-3 quads entering the dry tournament.
Byu
Against the state of kansas, 9 p.m. (ESPN +)
Byu is the bubble team here, but the Kansas State was hot at a good time. The cougars suffered a difficult loss in Cincinnati last weekend, but bounced with a victory over his Utah rival. Byu still needs better victories and it would not be one of them. In the meantime, the cougars must beat the teams they should beat.
San Diego State
Against Boisse State, 10 p.m. (CBS Sports Network)
The Aztecs have some very good victories on Houston and Creighton, but it is the only ones in the first two quadrants who will probably make the ground. They have a road trip in the state of Utah arriving and that new-mexic to the house. The other matches are “must win”.
Gonzaga
vs pepperdine, 10 p.m. (ESPN +)
Gonzaga is another team where their average score margin measures are much better than its real CV. The Zags have victories on Baylor, San Diego State and Indiana, but these are three of the last six teams on my tranche. They will get Saint Mary next weekend. Gonzaga needs to beat everyone
San Francisco
In San Diego, 10 p.m. (ESPN +)
The donations went up on the bubble by beating Saint Mary and almost gave it to LMU. San Francisco may have to win the whole way, but for sure until the Gonzaga donation host in the regular season final.
Saint mary
Against the state of Washington, 10 p.m. (ESPN2)
Gaels are a few victories by probably leaving the bubble. The danger for them is other than Gonzaga, any loss would be quite damaging. Cougars are good enough to be dangerous, except when they play Pacific. They will be triggered for it.
Teams near the cutting line
NCAA Tournament Windows
Locks as a function of CV: 3 | Secure automatic offers: 0
NOTE – All references to records and trends in selection of the NCAA tournament based on the net ranking exclude the 2021 tournament. Due to shortened schedules and a relatively low number of non -conference games, these rankings are not reliable to be taken into consideration.
