The Kansas City Chiefs will look to win their sixth straight game when they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in a key AFC matchup on NFL Christmas Day 2024. Kansas City is coming off a 27-19 victory over the Houston Texans, while Pittsburgh lost a 34-17 decision to Baltimore later today. The Chiefs (14-1), who have already won their ninth AFC West title, are 6-1 on the road this year. The Steelers (10-5), who are tied for the AFC North lead with the Ravens, are 5-1 on their home field. Defensive lineman Chris Jones (calf) is listed as questionable for Kansas City and, according to multiple reports, is not expected to play.
Kickoff from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. The Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites in the latest Chiefs vs. Steelers odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Chiefs vs. Steelers picks, be sure to Check out NFL predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s proven computer model, plus everything else SportsLine has to offer to help you crush your NFL Christmas Day picks.
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Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Steelers and just locked in his NFL picks and NFL predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model’s choices. Here are several NFL Odds and NFL betting lines for the Chiefs vs. Steelers:
- Spread between Chiefs and Steelers: Chiefs -2.5
- Chiefs vs. Steelers plus/minus: 45.5 points
- Chiefs vs. Steelers money line: Chiefs -143, Steelers +120
- KC: The Chiefs have won 9 of their last 11 road games (+8.90 units on ML)
- PIT: Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
- Chiefs vs. Steelers picks: See the picks on SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
Quarterback Patrick Mahomes didn’t let an ankle injury stop him in Saturday’s win over the Texans. He not only completed 28 of 41 passes for 260 yards and a touchdown, but he also carried five times for 33 yards and a score. For the season, he completed 66.9% of his passes for 3,608 yards and 23 touchdowns with 11 interceptions for a rating of 91.2. He also carried 57 times for 295 yards (5.2 average) and two touchdowns.
Running back Kareem Hunt fuels Kansas City’s ground attack. In 12 games, he carried 191 times for 708 yards (3.7 average) and six touchdowns. He had an explosive 20-yard play and converted 39 first downs. He has 23 receptions for 176 yards (7.7 average). Hunt has surpassed 100 rushing yards in two games this season, including a 27-carry, 106-yard, one-touchdown performance in a 30-24 overtime victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on November 4. See which side to choose here.
Why the Steelers can cover
Quarterback Russell Wilson continues to lead Pittsburgh’s offense. In nine games, he completed 174 of 268 passes (64.9%) for 2,129 yards and 15 touchdowns with just four interceptions and a rating of 101.7. He also rushed 33 times for 84 yards and a score. In a 44–38 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals on December 1, he completed 29 of 38 passes (76.3%) for 414 yards and three touchdowns with one interception.
Veteran running back Najee Harris leads the Steelers on the ground. In 15 games, he carried 238 times for 933 yards (3.9 average) and five touchdowns. He made eight explosive plays of 20 yards or more, including a long one of 36, with 43 first down conversions. Harris was also effective in the passing game with 30 receptions for 256 yards (8.5 average) and four explosive plays, including a 32-yarder. He rushed for 100 or more yards three times, including 114 yards on 19 carries against the New York Giants in a 26–18 victory on October 28. See which side to choose here.
How to make picks between the Chiefs and Steelers
The model goes under the total, a total of 43 points, and it also indicates that one side of the gap reaches well over 50% of simulations. You can only get NFL Model picks at SportsLine.
So who wins the Chiefs against the Steelers on Christmas Day, and which side of the spread is profitable in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Steelers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that’s up well over $7,000 on its NFL picks.and discover, and don’t forget to see AI Accessories, Vegas Expert Picks, DFS optimizer familiesand all the other tools to crush your picks at SportsLine.
