Gervonta Davis vs Lamont Roach Predictions and seen Breakdown: Is a Ko “tank” inevitable?

It will probably be the most profitable boxing event in the rich history of Barclays Center when Gervonta “Tank” Davis defends his WBA Lightweight title against the WBA Super Featherweight Roach WBA champion on Saturday in Brooklyn, New York.

Davis, boxer n ° 9 books for book of the world, is a big favorite at the top of the fight, but can he realize what would be a titanic upheaval?

The main card of Davis vs Roach starts starting at 8 p.m. HE and broadcasts live on the video card payment prevails for $ 79.99. A non-couronne will have a round cover per round of the whole map.

So who wins and how? Let’s break down all of this.

The ratings of Paris graceful of Betmgm.

WBA light title: Gervonta Davis (-1800) against Lamont Roach (+1050)

Davis (30-0, 28 KB) won world titles at Super Featherweight and Lightweight. He went to Super Lightweight for a fight in 2021 and won the WBA (regular) strap with a TKO victory in the 11th round on Mario Barrios, who currently holds the Welter WBC weight title.

Roach passes at the light of 135 pounds for Saturday’s fight. It will be the first time that he has participated in an important fight above the 130 pound Super Featherweight division, so he will probably still be used to the new weight class on the night of combat.

Davis is a relatively small light weight and its frame is not too much larger than that of Roach, so Roach will not be confronted with a major disadvantage. But “Tank” has managed to compete and beat larger men for many years due to its enormous punching power – Davis has a KO rate of 93.3%, one of the highest of boxing.

Roach, on the other hand, has only 10 knockouts of his 25 career victories, good for a 40% rate in reaching. It is unlikely that Roach’s power will be enough to disturb Davis considerably – and if Davis realizes that Roach cannot hurt him after a few laps, he can simply choose to walk Roach and seek the perfect backstation – just like Davis against Frank Martin last June.

Martin succeeded in the first six laps against Davis and succeeded four laps on the unofficial dashboard of the broadcast throughout their competition. But “tank” tends to give the first laps while he tries to break his opponent and force them to launch more than they would like – and in the eighth round, Martin was only another victim of the Curriculum Vitae of Davis.

Roach is not a boxer in the background and he will seek to mix with Davis sometimes in the center of the ring, a bit as he did against Hector Luis Garcia. However, this is a dangerous strategy against a Power Puncher as a tank and could lead to a devastating end of the Saturday competition.

The native of Washington DC will have to be more defensively a follower than he was in recent fights, because “tank” only needs a blow to end this fight. Roach has a very active blow and a two -inch range advantage, which will both be essential against Davis because it cannot let “tank” stay in the range of punches in a coherent way.

Davis will seek to confuse Roach by launching a lot of feints and levels of change, in the hope of collecting a defensive defect that he can exploit. Despite his reputation outside the ring, Davis is a boxer for reflection inside. When Ryan Garcia and Leo Santa Cruz made the mistake of launching the same time again and again, being open to the defensive, “Tank” made them both pay.

I expect Roach to succeed in the first long -distance laps and sometimes catch Davis in exchanges because of its range advantage, similar to the success that Rolando Romero had against Davis. But Roach is open to the counters, and I expect Davis to be able to capitalize with devastation in the second half of the fight.

Final pick: Davis Ko a tour 7-12.

WBA Super Lightweight Title: Jose Valenzuela (+105) against Gary Antuanne Russell (-130)

Jose “Rayo” Valenzuela made the first defense of the WBA Super Lightweight title he claimed with a shared decision on Isaac “Pitbull” Cruz last August.

While Valenzuela enters the fight with a better career victory, Gary Antuanne Russell heads there following his only professional defeat: a loss of decision shared against Alberto Puello in June.

Valenzuela (14-2, 9 KB) has a long-distance Cruz over-resident, using a great movement and a body punch to frustrate Cruz. His best asset is his leg game. Valenzuela was nicknamed “Rayochenko” – in tribute to the legendary Vasiliy Lomachenko – due to the angles he creates and strikes.

Russell (17-1, 17 KB) was overbriser by Puello in a fight that looked somewhat like Valenzuela against Cruz. Russell had trouble pinning the Southpaw Puello mover and was at the end of Puello’s right -up for a large part of the competition.

If Russell has not improved the defeat of Puello, it’s a good stylistic match for Valenzuela. I expect Valenzuela to be boxed as he did against Cruz, because this is how Puello succeeded against Russell. The main difference is that Russell will not be overshadowed by Valenzuela as it was by Cruz – Valenzuela and Russell have the same height and have a very similar range.

Russell may also be a larger perforator than Cruz, so Valenzuela will have to keep her defense tight. Valenzuela was eliminated by another pointer, Edwin de Los Santos, in three rounds in 2022, so that he can be taken and he can be injured.

Final part: Valenzuela by decision.

WBC Super Lightweight Title: Alberto Puello (-130) against Sandor Martin (+110)

Alberto Puello (23-0, 10 KB) won the temporary WBC title with a shared decision-making victory against Russell and was finally gone to the complete WBC champion after WBC had a Devin Haney the champion in recess. Now he was ordered to make the first defense of his title against Spanish Southpaw, Sandor Martin.

There is a good chance that Puelo against Martin would not steal the show on Saturday evening. Martin, like Puello, is a huge mover in southern with sharp couples.

Martin (42-3, 15 kos) had his moment of escape when he upset the world champion with four divisions Mikey Garcia in 2021. The Spaniard was a heavy outsidal before the fight, but he frustrated Garcia with his nervous movement and his gunshots. He was then chosen to be Teofimo Lopez’s opponent in 2022. Martin dropped Lopez but finally lost a controversial fractionation decision.

“Do I still have it, guy? Do I still have it?” These are the words whispered by Lopez in the ring after his disappointing performance against Martin.

Martin played at a higher level compared to Puello, and I expect him to put a close decision simply by being a little more embarrassing at the beginning and knew the section.

Final pick: Martin by decision.

WBA Interim Super Welterweight Title: Yoenis Telz against Julian Williams

Yoenis Telz de Cuba is one of the best hopes descending the Welter weight pipeline. He impressed with a seventh -round TKO victory over Johan Gonzalez over Bakhram Murtazaliev against Tim Tszyu Undercard in October.

Julian Williams had better days. He is best known for his upset victory against Jarrett Hurd in 2019 to win the unified crown of 154 pounds. Since then, he has lost three of his last five fights – two of them at the distance.

Williams (29-4-1, 17 KB) is a good springboard for Telz. He has not completely lost his defensive skills, so I can see such a laps to break Williams. Like (9-0, 7 KB) is not as aggressive as Carlos Adames, who arrested Williams in nine rounds.

This is however a good body punching, and it will be the key for him to go to Williams in the late towers. Adames was very successful with punches to the body of Williams, this is how he slowed down the movement of Williams and gathered combinations in a coherent way for a stop.

Final room: such as ko / who.