Here is why 2 hookologists do not agree on the chances of the NCAA tournament by Xavier Musketeers

The NCAA tournament bubble has more mobile parts than a car engine. Each night, a multitude of games across the country can have an impact on several other teams in the hope of hearing their names on the selection Sunday.

Xavier is firmly on blocking the tournament as March approaches. Winner of three consecutive games, Xavier has four regular season games and the remaining Big East tournament to assert his argument.

Where is Xavier?

Dave Ommen, the Founder of BracketvilleIn Xavier as one of his “Next 4 outings.” Tim Krueger, who recently joined Bracketville, lists Xavier as one of his “Last 4 in.”

Here’s why they don’t agree.

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Why Dave Ommen has Xavier musketeers who are missing the NCAA tournament

Although it is essential for Xavier to continue winning, this also matters what is happening around them on the bubble. Each team of bubbles falls into a similar category to have a record lower than speech in the quadrant 1 games. This is why they are on the bubble in the first place.

“They (Xavier) are 1-9 against Quad 1, a solid record of Quad 2. Overall, there are things to love,” Ommen told the Enquirer. “The road record is not great but not excruciating. The metrics suggest that Xavier is not yet there, at least on the side of the results.”

Of the eight teams Ommen listed above Xavier on the bubbleSix have more quad 1 and five victories have a higher percentage of victory in the combined 1/2 quad. There is also the NCAA Net classification. Xavier is at n ° 51. Five of the eight Owmen teams in front of Xavier on the bubble are classified higher.

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“The net ranking is the committee tool (selection), and you never want to forget that. You can talk about a lot of measures, but the net ranking is what the committee appreciates,” said Ommen.

Why Tim Krueger has Xavier musketeers who make the NCAA tournament

Although the margin of victory is not considered by the committee, it is clear that Xavier was competitive with the best teams of his calendar, who ranks like the 51-Hardest of the country, by Kenpom.

“I don’t want to decrease Xavier,” Krueger told the investigation. “When you watch them play, from an eye test point of view, they are for me an NCAA tournament team. Xavier played in the Big East starting.

Is the eye test sufficient?

“When you open their team sheet, the thing that jumps is this record of 1-9 quad 1 and that does not disappear,” said Krueger. “It could be the killer.”

What will do to Xavier to solidify the CV of the NCAA tournament?

You can discuss any metric you want. Overall, it amounts to winning. Xavier did this with a brand of 8-3 in his last 11 games and a sequence of three consecutive victories before Sunday’s match in Seton Hall.

Manage your business in the coming weeks and hang on to the bubble while the others fall. It is Xavier’s path with an additional offer in the field this season (37) after the disappearance of PAC-12.

“With the teams that Xavier plays to come, there are many teams that cling barely,” said Owmen. “Sometimes you just win by winning and other people lose.”

If Xavier goes 4-0 on the section, the musketeers would be 21-10 (13-7 Big East). Since the League moved to a conference calendar of 20 games and around, eight of the nine teams to go 13-7 in Big East Play made the tournament. Seton Hall was the only exception last season when the pirates were snubbed after An unprecedented multitude of auction thieves.

“This (going 4-0) should put them directly in this conversation according to what is happening around them,” said Ommen.

Krueger added: “When you look at the other teams, I don’t know. There is an argument for Xavier on one of them. I prefer to make a team of 21 wins if she runs the table.”

There are no easy victories in the Big East and Xavier still has to be his best against Seton Hall on Sunday (just ask Uconn). If they beat the pirates, March opens on what is happening to be a Gargantusen match against Creighton at the Cintas Center.

“It could really be about them by beating Creighton,” said Kreuger.

Should NCAA Net evolve in favor of Xavier to reach the NCAA tournament?

Although there are no quad 1 opportunities currently on the Xavier calendar, the 1-9 Musketeer record could improve. Xavier already has a victory over Uconn (n ° 36 net). It becomes a quad 1 if the Huskies move in the top 30.

This is the same for Creighton, which is at n ° 37. Xavier should beat the Bluejays next Saturday, then make them go up by selection on Sunday.

Are these net movements necessary? There is a cut for each quadrant but wins on Uconn and Creighton would always gain weight.

“I think there are a lot of intelligent people in this room who can see these are good victories, whatever the column in which it falls,” said Owmen. “I think there is more than the number Quad 1.”

To what extent does the committee explain in the Big East tournament?

The Big East tournament attracts a lot of buzz, but the committee has a sample of 30 games and more to work before the week of the conference tournament.

“We are talking about a data point,” said Ommen. “The teams will have played more than 30 games. Historically, you will hear experts talking about one team getting one more victory. If everyone is in the same boat and gets this more victory, you are still in the same boat .

“We will see where we are. Xavier could be in a position where a few victories could make a big difference.”

There is no exact science behind to go from the bubble to another. The only shoe route for Xavier is to win the Big East tournament.

“It’s a chance to remove it from the committee,” said Ommen. “If you want a 100% answer on how to enter, that’s it. So there is no debate.”

Xavier has proven that he can compete with each Big East team, so a title of conference tournament does not seem too eccentric. Xavier separated from Uconn and Marquette, can separate with Creighton next week and led St. John’s at 16 in the second period in Madison Square Garden.

“There is not a team in the league which is so overwhelming who says that she could not do that,” said Ommen.

This article originally appeared on Cincinnati Enquirer: Why 2 Bracketologists do not agree on the chances of the Xavier NCAA tournament