With a 272-game regular season behind us, there are several NFL betting trends to consider for NFL Wild Card Weekend game picks. While road favorites have won 73.1% of games, road favorites have covered just over 56% of the time. The first round of the 2025 NFL playoff bracket has two road favorites closing out the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend schedule. The Chargers are a 3-point favorite on the road against the Texans on Saturday in the latest NFL odds, while the Vikings are a 1-point favorite at the Rams on Monday Night Football with an over-under of 48.
These NFL games this week also have the thinnest of NFL Wild Card Weekend spreads. The Ravens vs. Steelers (+9.5, 43.5) and Bills vs. Broncos (+8.5, 47) have the favored home teams, but home teams actually have a losing record against the spread (ATS) this season, covering 49.2% of games. games. All weekend Wild Card NFL Lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and NFL predictions you need to make the best NFL picks for Super Wild Card Weekend now. More, get the model’s full predictions on Wild Card Weekend NFL scores here.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s top-rated picks since its inception. The model enters the 2025 NFL Playoffs on a 31-14 top-rated hot betting streak. NFL Pick this year, a staggering 69% success rate. Longer term, he’s 211-142 on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and 65-35 on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps could have seen solid returns.
Now he turns his attention to the latest Wild Card Weekend NFL Odds and NFL betting lines and locked betting picks for every NFL game. You can find them all here.
Where to bet on NFL games
Below you will find a comparison of the different welcome promotions available as well as reviews of the major sportsbooks and their current promotional offers.
Saturday January 11
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans (+2.5, 42.5)
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS/Paramount+
No team has more ATS wins this season than the Chargers’ 12, while no team in the playoffs has fewer ATS wins than the Texans’ seven. However, Houston is 5-2 both straight and against the spread, all-time, in the Wild Card Round. Meanwhile, Los Angeles has covered just one game in its last seven playoff games as a favorite.
Model Pick: The SportsLine model, which enters the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-14 betting streak on this year’s top-rated NFL picks – a staggering 69% win rate – projects that a team will allow five points more than its season average. , and he projects that a team will average nearly five takeaways and sacks combined. See NFL projections here.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens (-9.5, 43.5)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: Prime Video
The teams split their two regular season meetings, with the home team winning and covering in each. The Steelers begin a five-game playoff losing streak, also failing to cover all five games. Lamar Jackson’s career passer rating of 102 in the regular season is the third-best in NFL history, but he has a rating of 75.7 through six playoff games.
Model Pick: The SportsLine model, which is 211-142 on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and 65-35 on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022, says one side of the total reached in almost 60% of simulations. Find out which side of the total is a must-win here.
Sunday January 12
Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills (-8.5, 47)
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Channel: CBS/Paramount+
The Over had a combined record of 21-11-2 for both teams this season. The Over has hit in four of Buffalo’s last five games, and he’s also hit in the Broncos’ last three road games. Denver has been blown out in each of its last four road playoff games, losing each of them by at least 18 points.
Model choice: The SportsLine model, which has cost well over $7,000 for $100 players among the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception, projects that a defense will accumulate more Fantasy points than any running back, receiver or tight end on the other team. Get NFL projections here.
Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 45.5)
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Channel: FOX
The Eagles won 34-29 when these teams met in Week 1 in Brazil, also being 1.5 point favorites. The Packers are the seventh seed in the NFC, and the seven seed in the NFL playoffs are 1-7, with just one win coming courtesy of Green Bay last year against Dallas. This season, the Packers went 11-1 against teams with 10 wins or fewer, but 0-5 against teams with more than 11 wins, with Philly coming off a 14-win season.
Model Pick: The SportsLine model, which enters the 2025 NFL playoffs on a 31-14 betting streak on the NFL’s top-rated picks this year – a staggering 69% win rate – says that it has been said that the difference reaches well over 50% of simulations. See what it’s all about here.
Sunday Night Football: Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3, 50.5)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC
Tampa won 37-20 at home when these teams met in Week 1, also being 4-point favorites. Both teams rank in the top five in offense, with the Bucs having the #3 passing offense, while the Commanders counter with the #3 running offense. Washington has lost four straight playoff games, with its last victory coming against the Buccaneers in the 2005 Wild Card Round.
Model Pick: The SportsLine model, which is 211-142 on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and 65-35 on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022, says one side of the total hits well over 60% of simulations in an A-rated pick. Get the coveted A-rated model pick here.
Monday January 13
Monday Night Football: Minnesota Vikings vs. Los Angeles Rams (+1.48)
Time: 8 p.m. ET
Channel: ABC/ESPN
The Rams beat the Vikings, 30-20, at home in Week 8, also coming in as 2.5-point underdogs. Los Angeles has covered its last four playoff openers and is 5-1 ATS in its last six regular season games. The Vikings, however, are 7-2-3 ATS as road favorites since Kevin O’Connell became head coach in 2022, with that 77.8% coverage rate on third best in the league.
Model choice: The SportsLine model, which costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the highest-rated NFL picks since its inception, shows two players having nearly 100 yards from scrimmage, while two other players have well over 80 yards from scrimmage. Get NFL projections here..
