Please excuse Seattle Seahawks fans if they need a digital list to identify their attack this season.
The Seahawks, under the leadership of the Director General Assieged John Schneider, underwent an offensive overison which wiped out the key offensive figures for last season. Former offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb, who was dismissed after a season. He was replaced by Klint Kubiak, son of the longtime coach of NFL Gary Kubiak and the attacking coordinator of the Saints last year.
Then on March 5, the team released the fans’ favorite and the 10 -year -old veteran recipient, Tyler Lockett, victim of the salary ceiling. Two days later, Seattle exchanged the quarter-Arrière Geno Smith, who had started the last three seasons of the team, at the Raiders after the teams failed to conclude an agreement on an extension of the contract. And then Sunday, the front office probably dispatched the best and the most talented team of the team, the double receiver of the pro Bowl, DK Metcalf, at Steelers.
Until now, Schneider’s greatest offensive addition has been the signing of the Libre of Libre Sam Darnold quarter, previously Vikings. Darnold, 27, easily comes the best season of his career in his only season in Minnesota. Appointed the starter after the injury of the end of the season at the quarter-Arrière Recruue JJ McCarthy in the pre-season, Darnold established steps in career in the passage of passage (35), the passing yards (4319) and the passer rating (102.5) while leading the Vikings to a file of 14-3 and a Bost-Yon of Wild Card. After Minnesota authorized Darnold to test the free agency, the Seahawks agreed with a 100.5 million dollars contract over three years with the former overall choice n ° 3 in the 2018 NFL draft.
But Darnold’s signature has hardly improved Seattle’s chances for next season, according to the Sportsline projection model. The model, which simulates each Nfl Game 10,000 times and ends for a lot of $ 7,000 for $ 100 players on the best rated NFL picks Since its creation, indicates that the projected victory of the Seahawks has increased only marginally with the acquisition of Darnold, from 7.7 to 8.0. The model also indicates that the addition of Darnold had a minimum impact on Seattle’s chance to win the NFC West (up to 13.1% compared to 10.5%) and to make the playoffs (up to 30.3% against 25.3%).
A year after the team went 10-7 and missed the playoffs in the first season of head coach Mike Macdonald, why is the model so high on the Darnold movement? Stephen Oh, the main data engineer from Sportsline and the man behind the model, says that the model takes more weight on the first six seasons of Darnold than his last. During his first six seasons with three different teams (jets, panthers and 49ers), Darnold launched almost as many interceptions (56) as the affected (63).
In addition, in the two biggest Viking matches last season – the final of the regular season against the Lions and the Wild Card Game against the Rams – Darnold fought. During these two games, he only completed 43 of the 811 passes for 411 yards, a touchdown and an interception while being dismissed 11 times while Minnesota has been exploded twice.
“The model does not believe in Sam Darnold and assumes that his great 2024 season had much more to do with an offensive head coach among the first three (Kevin O’Connell) and a receiver of the first three (led by Justin Jefferson) than him,” said Oh.
Darnold will intervene for Smith, who played decently last season. Smith ranked fourth in the league on the yards by the pass (4,320) and fifth as a percentage of completion (70.4%), while helping the Seahawks to rank eighth in the NFL in offense (236.5 yards per match) and 14th in total offense (332.2). Of course, Smith did all this with the services of Metcalf and Lockett, which Darnold will not have.
“Seattle could improve more in the eyes of the model, assuming that they add certain receivers after exchanging Metcalf and released Lockett,” said Oh.